Hope it’ll all be ok though, once all these media conglomerates with agendas are forced to break up and there is more competition for “news” should force out some quality content.

2 words. moron/bullshit

I disagree. Polling is not simply guessing – it’s a scientific analysis of how pollsters predict people are going to vote. It’s an educated prediction. The site this post linked to also factors in all of the polls and analyzes why polls differ (who took a larger sample size of younger people / who took a smaller than average sample size of republicans / blah blah blah etc…) – The media wants to give the impression that it’s close because it’s a more compelling story.

Great article btw.

Any rational pollster will tell you that polls are a guess at best. You are taking a small sampling of the population, asking them questions you hope they will answer truthfully (and, that they indeed will vote), then expanding that sample size to be an estimate of what the population as a whole will do.

Obviously, McCain supporters will be in favor of polling data that shows the race tight and Obama fans will choose to believe the polls indicating a blow out.

As long as the poll is conducted in a standardized manner, based on generally accepted statistical methods, it is difficult if not impossible to say “this one is correct and that is one is fallacy.” The proof is in the pudding and only the actually count of votes matter.

As Obama reiterated in one of the debates, there are lies, damn lies and statistics. You’re argument is based on the “soundness” of the stats.